Thursday, June 2, 2016

Saudi Arabia. IPOs and bonds.

The Saudis have confirmed that they will retain control over Saudi Aramco and it will still be a political tool as well as an economic one post IPO, which again begs the question, why would anyone buy into it? http://on.ft.com/1UeDigu

On a related note, why would anyone buy their bonds? The oil price has left a huge hole in the budget. They are fighting a real war (with Iran) in Yemen, and a proxy war with Iran everywhere else. Their only asset is oil, which is not going back to $100 in a hurry. If they slash their ludicrously generous welfare system and state largesse they risk domestic unrest.

Not a great combination.

I wouldn't go anywhere near a Saudi bond.